For the first time that I’ve seen, the beta prediction tool has actually shortened the estimated ship date. When it was first announced, mine moved from the standard “all shipped by November” to March 12, 2012. Then, as we started to see some settling in the predictions, the dates were moving further away. Mine jumped to March 26!
I just checked mine since I’m a glutton for punishment, and the time has been shortened from March 26 to March 22. I know, it’s not much, but I am just happy to see it move in THAT direction, rather than the other way.
With all predictions, the further away it is, the less accurate it’s going to be. A few days difference in March next year is less significant than the difference between tomorrow and next week sometime. But there have been a few posts lately about people receiving their e-mail on the predicted date, so that gives me confidence that as each customer’s date approaches, the estimate should settle down and become more trustworthy.
My original date was January 18. That jumped to January 26, and now it’s at January 25. They could replace the date with a picture of a turtle and it would mean about the same thing to me. I’ve learned not to put any faith in a date from Glowforge. If I have a Glowforge in my home by next summer, I’ll be surprised. It does look like they’ve ramped up the basic production recently though, so that might move my date closer again. I’m sure they’ll switch back to focusing on Pro units as my date nears, so it will then move further out. At least this new prediction tool means they won’t have to make any more excuses for missed deadlines, nor will they be likely to offer any more bonuses for missing delivery deadlines. Clever strategy.
I don’t know whats going on but I too am seeing huge swings in dates. When the expected date tool was introduced, my date for the Basic was Oct 31st (TODAY!!!) then last week it moved one month out to Nov 27th (Wasn’t happy about that) but then today I checked and we are back at Oct 31st (NOICE!!! But no email yet)… To be continued…