Yikes!
Tampa, Orlando, and Cape may all get the eye.
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Swinging north a bit. Tampa gets south of the eye a bit instead of the north side of it, but the storm aims more at Daytona so good news for some.
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The path of the eye has little to do with where the major impact will be. The stuff in NC was way further East than the āpathā of the storm. The eye almost came directly over Atlanta, and we got nothing but some rain. I had a rose out on a table on my deck, and it wasnāt even blown off. But I did get 8.5" rainā¦
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By that time rain was the biggest problem. Iām glad you got away lightly. Often the east side of the storm has the most rain and wind, but the eye has the highest wind. The worst is a direct hit with extreme winds pushing in one direction and then the opposite. If you do that with a post it will come out easier. With a giant oak, it is not so different except for the higher forces involved.
Folks in the St.Pete area are not cleaned up from Helene, and now Milton will be far worse than Helene was at that point. Where the eye goes through there is still the wind and rain before and after, which will likely be heaviest in the before at least. In the mountains, the drag will usually push it to about 90 degrees to the path
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Iām guessing youāre making plans to evac again. The storm surge from a major hurricane in that area will not be good at anytime and especially this close to Heleneās damaging surge.
Everybody in Orlando should keep an eye on Milton too.
Iām not very worried about the storm when it gets to me even though it will possibly still be a hurricane. I imagine weāll be off work midweek since the eye could run over KSC
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i hope it ends up being as minimal as possible for everyone there. iām just happy itāll be through florida weds/thurs. i fly into miami on saturday for adobe max.
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Hoping everyone is and stays safe! I canāt imagine what everyone is having to deal with.
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Just keep your eyes on the storm. It can still go south and have an effect on Miami.
This is going to be a really bad storm for the west coast of Florida from the looks of it.
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oh trust me, iām watching, and hoping that path doesnāt veer south. but even if it does, i still donāt fly in til 2+ days after it should be out to sea. so hopefully the worst will have passed by then. still hoping for the best for everyone whoās already there (early conf folks and residents).
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Looking at nullschool. it has a late jag to the NNE and hits Cedar Key with the eye and comes out near St. Augustine. Gainesville not looking good. We have a ride to the shelter Tuesday afternoon.
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Iāll start believing the paths more tomorrow night, and definitely by Tuesday night.
Iām glad youāve got your evac plans in place.
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I hope everyone stays safe!
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by that time most of the stormās energy was spent. the top right quadrant of the storm is the strongest. thatās why they were worried about Helene pushing water into Tampa Bay. the eye wall has the sustained winds. not gusts, PURE unending WIND at whatever speed fits the category of the storm. by the time that storm got to you it was booger picker level. the Eyewall comes ashore is where the straight line wind occurs. remember Katrina? the people standing on the roof? thatās how you could tell it was a cat 3 at landfall. Cat 4 or 5 those folks wouldnāt have anything to stand on. the air pressure drops and the roof pops off just like in a tornado.
they are working super hard to clean up the debris from Helene. I remember when I was a kid living in Florida the picture of a 2x4 driven through a palm tree in Miami, many feet in the air, like you would stick a knife through a scoop of ice cream. imagine appliances flying through the air bashing into things.
my family is in Clearwater, it is going to be puckered up. they are not in evac zones.
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Looking at the moment the path is well south of where it was and exiting near Melbourne near cat one so heads up and be safe.
I am typing this from the shelter.
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Very concerned for all of you in the path. I hope you can stay in touch.
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i always think of this ron white sketch when people try to stick out big hurricanes in the evac zone.
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The track moved right over my house as a CAT 1. It isnāt the wind, or even what the wind blows 
, that is the problem. The rain is the problem.
Weāve had massive amounts of rain over the last several days and weāre already saturated. Now weāre on the wettest side of the storm. Now Iām expecting between 4 and 8 inches of rain. 
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We are having problems with standing water too. Just was talking to my wife about it, saying that didnāt seem to have as much from previous hurricanes (each have there own quirks). But I was thinking that our yard has changed over 20 years. Trees are larger and have changed the elevation as well as sediment shifting the grade of the yard.
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One of the changes to my yard that I barely noticed was the palm trees. We have 6 palm trees planted along the street on our lot. When I moved in the trees were 6 feet tall and now they are all much larger and mature. It is fun looking at images on Google Maps from back then compared to now.
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Hopefully everybody was as lucky with the storm as I was. It moved just far enough north when it hit the east coast that we were outside the wet quadrant and just had the CAT 1 winds. Only small branches in the yard and a couple palm fronds.
We were also lucky not to have any of the many tornadoes that come with these storms touch down near me.
Biggest complaint from the neighbors all around me was that they drained their swimming pools before going to sleep last night and now they have to use hoses to fill them up again. Good problem to have all things considered.
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