WHAT THE WHAT! PRODUCTION UNIT! :squee:

The most recent disclosure was that one big hold was completing the safety guide. (Enter engineers, lawyers, and one technical writer that wants to commit suicide by laser). It is reasonable to expect, so far, that they will be shipping Pro units on schedule, but I wouldn’t expect @dan to 100% commit until they are absolutely certain there will be no slippage in the schedule. He seems to love to deliver and hate to promise what he can’t deliver.

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ROFL! :joy:

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If my memory serves me well, they said that Pro models were more popular than basics during the preorder, and we know that just under $30,000,000 worth of glowforges were bought during the initial pre-order phase. So if we figure a minimum of 50% at $4000, we have a maximum of 10,000 units in first month preorder. I figure there is likely a minimum of 8,000, though I did not factor those who canceled their orders. I feel Dan did a great job of giving incentive for people to keep their orders, so I would guess they had a solid 75% retention, leaving a minimum of 6,000 units for those who order in the first 30 days. They said they would be shipping by order date, they gave no indication that they would consider regular forum participation as part of when production units ship (regular forum participation just made it more likely for you to be picked as a beta tester for PRU). So if their first shipping run was about 100 units, that’s likely less than 2% of their pre ordered units. And since they’ll need to track the success of the shipping logistics, even working like mad I wouldn’t expect them to get over 15% shipped in the first month of them shipping. I feel this is still a time to be calm patient, they have roughly 2 months to make their current deadline, and I figure if they are still on schedule, most of us pre-order people will see our emails in the last 3 weeks of July. Being a pro buyer, I have this irrational nervous tick that tells me my order will be delayed, but the Glowforge team works hard, and @dan communicates far more than most company heads, so I think if the Pro model was significantly behind schedule, we would already know. Yes this is all very much conjecture, but we’re come so far, I feel it’s best to let them focus on the home stretch, and wait for them to come to us with updates.

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Conjecture, yes, but a LOT of sound reasoning in this. I would agree that even with shipping now, and working out the logistics, I’d expect most of the pre-order units to to be delivered in the last 3 weeks of July. If :glowforge: can beat that, I’d be surprised, but also very impressed.

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Yes, 65 days until July 31st, this will be more tedious than the last year and a half

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I don’t contribute often to the forum, mostly because If I checked the forum regularly it would be too hard for me to stay calm and patient. It sounds funny, but the production delays have worked to my benefit in a few ways… In December of last year, I decided to get an x-carve, not to replace my Glowforge, but to get more familiar with CNCs and to supplement the glowforges capabilities. Working with the x-carve has been frustrating and fun. I have learned a lot, and been able to start my green energy, custom manufacture/engraving business with it. What I came away with, is that to create the products I intend to, I will truly need both machines. I am so greatful for the technology advancements that have been made with both of these machines because without the easy to use software that exists with Easel, and that we can expect with Glowforge, it would be far too time consuming for me to attempt to manufacture products from home and offer a competitive price to customers. I know that I am attempting to do commercial work, with hobby level equipment, but for decades it has been my dream to prove that we can create everything we need without contributing to global warming. In recent years, Elon Musk has become my personal hero, and now that Tesla is creating a electric semi-truck (so green transportation will be possible), I feel that it’s my responsibility to find ways to make many different kinds of products on just solar and wind power, from reclaimed and recycled materials. So I guess I’m saying that I feel Glowforge and Inventables are making it possible to pursue my true calling! (I also don’t post much because I tend to be VERY long winded, lol)

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So I’m a September 25 on the list. Getting rather excited.

Haven’t gotten the email yet, but I’m hopeful. Patient. Expectant.

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i think that’s a reasonable guess and probably on the low-end side of things; dan has said on a number of occasions, or at least intimated, that the cancellations have always been on the low end, or perhaps lower than expected (that last is me reading into it of course).

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I’m grateful that anyone has put up with me this long… and absolutely committed to making it worth your confidence.

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i for sure believe that (sorry, i wasn’t trying to comment anything aside from the fact that it seems to me like cancellations haven’t been a huge problem, i don’t think)

Well seeing as how during the big bad announcement last April there was a less than 1/2 of a percentage of cancellation, I do see it being much much lower than the 25% someone was guessing somewhere around here.

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that’s how i feel, it seems like most expensive crowdfunding projects have the benefit of a committed user base.

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Pretty sure you live around the corner from me…

Can I come play too until mine arrives? XD

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Sure! I’m in Medford, Ma. Where are you located?

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What is the email address that this email is sent from? support@glowforge.com?

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I believe it is hello@glowforge.com

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hello@glowforge.com

Edit: Dang, @kennethclapp beat me too it.

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Same-Same.
Just down the hill from Tufts, off Winthrop.

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You might be walking distance from me! PM me after my Glowforge gets here and we can schedule a play date!

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I have a PRU of course on the other side of town… Over in Needham.

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